19 february, 2019

At the parliamentary election to be held in Moldova on February 24, chances to get to the next Parliament on party tickets (from a nation-wide electoral constituency) are sufficiently high with the Party of Socialists (PSRM), the Democratic Party (DP) and the opposition voting bloc ACUM.

According to the opinion poll findings, presented at Infotag by the Association of Sociologists and Demographers of Moldova, the PSRM may count on 43.3% votes, the DP - on 17.1%, ACUM - 14.1%, and the rest contestants would not clear the 6% election threshold.

Association Chairman Victor Mocan said at the presentation that it would be logical and expedient to lower the threshold to 2-4% to thus increase small parties' chances with an account of Moldova's transition to a mixed election system, which stipulates that only 50-of-101 deputies will now on be elected by party tickets.

According to the poll, only 2.8% interviewed citizens are ready to cast their ballots for Ilan Shor Party, for the Communist Party - 2.5%, for Our Party - 2.3%, and all the rest parties may count on a total of 5.3%.

The proportions of uncertain citizens and of those who will not go the polls have dropped to 8.1% (-3.6% against the previous poll held in January) and to 4.4% (-1.5%), respectively. Mocanu said that only 0.9% respondents are ready to vote for the Liberal Party and 0.6% -- for the National Liberal Party. So, if these two organizations unite efforts with all the rest pro-Romania unification parties, then they could, theoretically, win several seats in parliament by party tickets.

The research has shown that party preferences of 24.9% voters depend on the personal qualities of party leaders, 20.3% -- on the party team, 16.1% -- on the party's desire to combat corruption and crime, 11.5 % -- on the opening of 'social shops', 10.7% -- on the coincidence of outlooks on the country's development vector, 7.8% -- on the implementation of efficient reforms, and 6.4% -- on party's ideology and program.

The rating of trust in Moldovan politicians according to the so-called "closed list", i.e. when respondents are offered a list with the names of the most popular personalities to choose from, is headed by President Igor Dodon, who is trusted by 52.8%. Next follows PAS leader Maya Sandu with 28.5%, then PSRM Chairwoman Zinaida Greceanii - 26.7%, Prime Minister Pavel Filip - 24.4%, DA Platform leader Andrei Nastase - 22.3%, DP Chairman Vlad Plahotniuc - 21%, Orhei Mayor Ilan Shor - 18.7%, Communist Party leader Vladimir Voronin - 15.8%, Chisinau Municipal Councilor Ion Ceban - Ion Ceban, and Our Party Chairman Renato Usatii - 11.1%.

The rating of trust figures appear to be much lower when respondents are asked to name themselves the politicians they trust (the so-called 'open list'). Thus, Igor Dodon is trusted by 34.1%, Maya Sandu - by 6.2%, Pavel Filip - 4.4%, Zinaida Greceanii - 4.1%, Andrei Nastase - 3.7%, Vlad Plahotniuc - by 3.7%. Practically each 5th respondent s1qqaz\tated he or she does not trust in anybody, and 13.1% were uncertain.

The opinion poll was carried out on February 1 through 14, and it covered 1l95 people eligible to vote, residing in 83 various-type localities across the republic. The pollsters are saying the error should not be in the excess of В±3%.


The numbers of supporters of Moldova's accession to the European Union and to the Russia-led Eurasian Economic Union are practically same because the difference is well within the statistical error, as per the opinion poll findings, presented at Infotag by the Association of Sociologists and Demographers of Moldova today.

If a referendum were held here next Sunday on Moldova's accession to either of the two Unions, the EAES would be chosen by 42.9% respondents and the EU by 41.2%. Yet 6.8% citizens are against accession to any of the two Unions, 5.6% would not vote, and 3.5% are uncertain.

At a referendum for Moldova's accession to NATO, 63.1% respondents would vote against joining the North Atlantic Alliance, 22.3% -- for accession, and the rest are uncertain.

The researchers pointed out that the above figures reflect the position of only Moldova citizens residing in the republic, whereas the Moldovan diaspora abroad may substantially change this picture.

Meanwhile, the Moldovan Central Election Commission has announced that the Monday of February 18 is the last day when it is possible to publish the results of opinion polls having a relation to the parliamentary election due on February 24. According to the Election Code, such data may be published not shorter than 5 days to an election date.


Add comment

  • name
  • e-mail
  • message
Your comment will be published after administrator approval.