maib_esspreso

Reports

POSSIBLE SNAP ELECTION WILL HARDLY CHANGE CURRENT ALIGNMENT OF FORCES IN MOLDOVA - OPINION POLL

14 may, 2019
POSSIBLE SNAP ELECTION WILL HARDLY CHANGE CURRENT ALIGNMENT OF FORCES IN MOLDOVA - OPINION POLL

A possible early parliamentary election in Moldova will change the current configuration of political forces only very insignificantly, if any, as per the findings of the opinion poll presented by the Association of Sociologists and Demographers of Moldova at the news agency Infotag on Monday.

According to the poll results, 33.2% interviewed citizens believe that at such possible snap election not a single political party will be able to win a majority of seats in the Parliament, 19.4% -- that victory will be won by Left forces, 14.2% -- by Centrists, 10.8% -- by the Right. And 3.5% respondents believe that a snap election will tell negatively on a voter turnout.

"It is obvious that a snap election will not change cardinally the current situation that has settled following the February 24 parliamentary election. If such voting were held next Sunday, we would receive the same parties in the Parliament as now", Association Chairman Victor Mocanu said at the results presentation today.

According to the poll, 27.3% respondents are ready to cast their ballots for the Party of Socialists [PSRM, having 35-of-101 deputies in the current Parliament]. The Democratic Party [30 MPs] would be supported by 16.9% voters, the right-wing voting bloc ACUM [26 MPs] - by 16.7%, the Ilan Shor Party [7 MPs] - by 4.1%. The extra-parliamentary Communist Party - by 2.2%, Our Party - by 1.3%, and the Liberal Party - by 0.8%. Yet 21.3% were uncertain, and 7.6% stated they would not go to the polls. With an account of only confident respondents, the PSRM would poll 38.4%, the DP - 23.8%, ACUM - 23.5%, and the Ilan Shor Party - 5.8%.

Meanwhile, the ideas of forming a governing coalition by the Party of Socialists and the Democratic Party as well as by the PSRM and the political bloc ACUM appear to be almost equally popular among Moldova citizens. Namely, the creation of a PSRM-DP coalition is favored by 28.6% respondents and of PSRM-ACUM - by 27%, and the ruling coalition variant of DP-ACUM - by merely 7.3%.

Slightly over 15% interviewed citizens stand for holding an early parliamentary election, and 5.9% -- for appointing a minority government. 3.1% respondents mentioned other coalition variants, and 12.7% were uncertain.

"In the course of the opinion poll, respondents were offering different variants of resolving the current political crisis caused by the absence of a parliamentary majority and a workable government, for example: to form a coalition of deputies elected from single-member constituencies; to appoint a 'technocratic government' with the participation of all of the parliamentary parties; to change the political regime; to establish a dictatorship and to return to one-party system. Some offered an opinion that democracy has finally failed in Moldova and is no more functioning, therefore there is no need for having a parliament as such in the republic. Such people believe that all questions in the country must be solved by the president", said Victor Mocanu.

The opinion poll was carried out on May 1-10 by order of the Chisinau subdivision of the International Institution for Monitoring of the Development of Democracy, Parliamentarism and Citizens' Voting Rights of the CIS Parliamentary Assembly. It involved 1,189 citizens eligible to vote from 89 various-status populated areas across Moldova. The pollsters are saying the error should not be in the excess of В±3%.

PROPORTION BETWEEN EU AND EAES SUPPORTERS IS PRACTICALLY EQUAL IN MOLDOVA

The number of supporters of Moldova’s accession to the European Union and the Eurasian Economic Union [of Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Armenia and Kyrgyzstan, EAES] is practically the same, with a difference well within a poll error, as per the findings of the opinion poll presented by the Association of Sociologists and Demographers of Moldova at the news agency Infotag on Monday.

According to the research results, if a referendum were held in Moldova next Sunday, the country’s accession to EAES would be supported by 39.1% respondents, and to EU – by 37.5%. Over 11.2% are against joining either of these two unions, 6.3% would not go to the polls, and 5.9% were uncertain.  

The level of support for both vectors has fallen a little bit compared with an analogous polls carried out last February, when the EAES was supported by 42.9% and the European Union by 41.2%. The pollsters are saying this has been due to the grown number of those citizens who stand up against both vectors.

As for Moldova’s accession to NATO, the situation is by far clearer. At a referendum on this issue, the country’s joining the North Atlantic Alliance would be backed by 22.1% citizens and non-joining – by 54.8%. The rest were uncertain.

Slightly over 79% respondents believe that Moldova’s relationship with Romania is good, with the European Union – 74.8%, with Ukraine – 71.4%, the United States – 62.8%, Russia – 60.8%. And 28.3% citizens stated that the current Moldova-Russia relationship is non-friendly. 

The opinion poll was carried out on May 1-10 by order of the Chisinau subdivision of the International Institution for Monitoring of the Development of Democracy, Parliamentarism and Citizens’ Voting Rights of the CIS Parliamentary Assembly. It involved 1,189 citizens eligible to vote from 89 various-status populated areas across Moldova. The pollsters are saying the error should not be in the excess of ±3%.  


CHURCH AND PRESIDENTIAL ADMINISTRATION ENJOY MOLDOVA CITIZENS' HIGHEST TRUST - OPINION POLL

The Church and Presidential Administration are trusted by over a half of Moldova citizens, namely by 63.5% and 51.5%, respectively, as per the findings of the opinion poll presented by the Association of Sociologists and Demographers at the news agency Infotag on Monday.

The mayors of populated areas are trusted by 42% respondents, armed forces - by 37.8%, the mass media - by 35.6%, the Moldovan Academy of Sciences - 35.2%, the police - 34%, the Government - 33.4%, trade unions - 29.8%, the banking system - 29.8%, international organizations having offices in Moldova - by 29.3%, the Central Election Commission - 27.5%, non-governmental organizations - 25.6%, the Parliament - 24.6%, the judiciary - 20.7%, and political parties - by 17.4%.

Association Chairman Victor Mocanu remarked that the poll findings are "causing concern", particularly the low level of trust to the last several institutions on the above-mentioned list that participate directly in electoral processes in the country. As a result, citizens feel a low trust in elections as a whole.

The rating of trust in Moldovan politicians on the so-called 'closed list' of offered names is topped by incumbent President Igor Dodon who is trusted by 52.8% respondents. Following next are Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) Chairperson Maya Sandu, who is an ACUM bloc Co-Chairperson - 30.1%. Then go Democratic Party leader Vlad Plahotniuc with 28.2%, DA Platform leader Andrei Nastase (the other ACUM Co-Chairperson) - 24.2%, Chairwoman of the Party of Socialists Zinaida Greceanii - 22.5%, Chairman of the Ilan Shor Party - 18.4%, Prime Minister Pavel Filip - 17.6%, Socialist MP Ion Ceban - 17.4%, Moldovan Communist Party Chairman Vladimir Voronin - 14.3%, previous Parliament Speaker Andrian Candu - 14%, Gagauzia Governor Irina Vlah and Our Party leader Renato Usatii - 12% each.

However, the rating of trust in Moldovan politicians turned out to be considerably lower when respondents were asked to mention by themselves their favorite political figures. Thus, according to such 'open list' President Igor Dodon is trusted by 25.9%, Maya Sandu by 6.8%, Vlad Plahotniuc - by 6.6%, Andrei Nastase - by 4.7%, Zinaida Greceanii - by 4.6%, Ilan Shor - by 4%, Pavel Filip - by 2.1%, Ion Ceban - by 1.9%, Vladimir Voronin - by 1.7%, Irina Vlah - by 1.4%, Renato Usatii - by 1.3%. As many as 21.3% respondents stated they did not trust anybody, and 16.1% were uncertain.

 

Add comment

  • name
  • e-mail
  • message
Thanks!
Your comment will be published after administrator approval.