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IGOR DODON AND MAIA SANDU MAINTAINING LEAD IN PEOPLE'S SYMPATHIES - VOX POPULI

17 january, 2020
IGOR DODON AND MAIA SANDU MAINTAINING LEAD IN PEOPLE

Incumbent Moldova President Igor Dodon and Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) Chairperson Maia Sandu are favorites of the forthcoming 2020 presidential campaign, as per the findings of the opinion research Vox Populi, which were presented at Infotag by the Association of Sociologists and Demographers of Moldova (ASDM) on Thursday.

The ASDM researchers revealed that had a presidential election were held in Moldova next Sunday, Igor Dodon would be supported by 34.8% respondents, Maia Sandu - by 20.2%, Democratic Party leader Pavel Filip - by 7.5%, DA Platform Chairman Andrei Nastase - by 6.1%. All the rest Moldovan politicians would not poll even 3% each. Yet 8.2% citizens would vote against all, 6.9% were not able to formulate their opinions, and 5.7% said they would not go to the polls.

But from among determined voters only, 43.9% would cast their ballots for Igor Dodon, 25.5% -- for Maia Sandu, 9.5% for Pavel Filip, and 7.7% for Andrei Nastase.

ASDM Chairman Victor Mocanu said that only Igor Dodon and Maia Sandu have real chances to pass to the second round of the 2020 presidential election. Many experts believe in this connection that due to this obvious outcome, the forthcoming election is going to be pretty dull because these candidates had already competed 4 years ago, but "some experts presume that the election campaign may produce new names and that new questions may be raised".

The Vox Populi has established that 71.7% respondents believe Presidents in Moldova should be elected by direct universal suffrage, and 20.6% prefer the electing of the heads of state in parliament. 4.1% voiced indifference to the question, and 3.6% were uncertain.

Had a parliamentary election been held in Moldova next Sunday on the basis of the proportional representation system, the Party of Socialists would be supported by 32.1% respondents, the PAS - by 15.6%, the Democratic Party - by 7.3%. And all re rest organizations, including the DA Platform (4.6%), the Communist Party (4.2%), the Ilan Shor Party (3.5%), Our Party (2.2%), would not clear the 6% election threshold.

However, in the category of 'definitely determined voters' the Party of Socialists would poll 44%, the PAS - 21.4%, the DPM - 10%, the DA Platform - 6.3% and the Communist Party 5.8%.

59.5% interviewed citizens voiced confidence they would go to the polls; 69.5% respondents are negative about the idea to hold a snap parliamentary election in 2020, but 17.3% would welcome such poll.

The rating of citizens' trust in politicians according to the so-called 'open list' [when respondents are asked to name by themselves their favorite politicians or organizations] has been traditionally headed by President Igor Dodon - currently 29.1%, followed by Maia Sandu - 16.7%, Chisinau Mayor Ion Ceban - 8.8%, Pavel Filip - 6.1%, Andrei Nastase - 5.2%, Parliament Speaker Zinaida Greceanii - 4.7%, Prime Minister Ion Chicu - 3.4%. Yet 10.8% respondents stated they trusted nobody, and 7.4% were uncertain.

But among 'definitely determined voters', the popularity rating of President Dodon is standing at 35.6%, of Maia Sandu - 20.4%, Ion Ceban - 10.7%, Pavel Filip 7.4%, and so forth.

The Vox Populi poll was undertaken on the Association of Sociologists and Demographers' own initiative on January 2 through 13, and it covered 1189 respondents. The pollsters are saying the error should not be in the excess of В±3%.


VOX POPULI REVEALS CHIEF EVENTS OF 2019 - PARLIAMENTARY ELECTION, NEW PROSECUTOR GENERAL AND COALITION BREAKDOWN

The February 24 parliamentary election, the appointment of a new Prosecutor General and the breakdown of the PSRM/ACUM coalition were the main events of the past year, as per the findings of the opinion research Vox Populi, which were presented at Infotag by the Association of Sociologists and Demographers of Moldova today.

According to 24.9% interviewed respondents, the year's main events included the parliamentary election, foreign diplomats' contribution to the resolution of political crisis in Moldova, the formation of the governing coalition of the Party of Socialists and the political bloc ACUM, and the appointment of the Government of Maia Sandu.

"All the events around the appointment of a new Prosecutor General and the annulled contest for recruiting candidates for that post were chief ones during the past year for 21.3% respondents. And 20.1% interviewed citizens offered an opinion that the main events were the breakdown of the PSRM/ACUM coalition, dismissal of the Maia Sandu Government and the appointment of a new Cabinet of Premier Ion Chicu", said Association Chairman Victor Mocanu.

For 19.2% respondents, main events included President Dodon's foreign voyages and his speech at the United Nations General Assembly Session, for 17.6% -- Ion Ceban's victory at the Chisinau mayoral elections. And 16.9% respondents said the main events were the hasty flights of former Moldovan Democratic Party leader Vlad Plahotniuc, of Ilan Shor and of Democrat MP Constantin Tutu.

24.7% respondents believe that the past year was much worse than 2018, 20.3% said - better, and 51.8% said "the same". Over two-thirds of interviewed citizens believe that Moldova is moving in a wrong direction, and 21.5% have an opposite opinion.

Only slightly over 1% respondents stated they were "fully contented" with the economic situation in Moldova over last 5 years, "quite contented" - 4.9%, "both yes and no" - 30.2%, "discontented" - 32.6%, and "categorically discontented" - 29.3%.

Poverty and high foodstuff prices are the main concern of 25.5% respondents, unemployment - of 23.1%, bad demographic situation and high migration - 21.3%, infrastructural problems - 20.4%, corruption and crime - 19.2%, children's future - 16.7%, bad economic situation - 12.8%, domestic political problems - 11%.


MOLDOVA CITIZENS CANNOT DECIDE WHERE TO GO - POLL

The difference between those citizens who stand for Moldova's integration into the Eurasian Economic Union [of Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Armenia and Kyrgyzstan, EAES] and the European Union is not exceeding the statistical error size, as per the Vox Populi research findings presented in Infotag on Thursday.

The Association of Sociologists and Demographers has established that if a referendum on an integration vector were held here next Sunday, 40.1% citizens would vote for the EAES and 38.7% -- for the European Union. Yet 7.8% respondents stated they did not support either of the two vectors, 6.4% would not go to the polls, and 7% failed to answer articulately.

50.7% respondents believe that the relationship between Moldova and the European Union improved considerably after the February 24 parliamentary election, 17.1% -- improved a little, 17.3% -- remained as before, 7.9% -- worsened a little, and 3.4% believe - considerably deteriorated.

28.5% Moldovans believe that relations with Russia have considerably improved, 39.4% -- improved a little, 19.8% -- remained as before, 6.1% -- worsened a little, and 1.8% -- worsened considerably.

At a referendum on Moldova's joining NATO, only 22.6% respondents would vote for that, and 55.2% -- against. Yet 10.3% citizens said they would not go to vote, 4.8% said they have no idea about what NATO is, and 7.1% were not able to formulate their answers.

The Vox Populi poll was undertaken on the Association of Sociologists and Demographers' own initiative on January 2 through 13, and it covered 1189 respondents. The pollsters are saying the error should not be in the excess of В±3%.

 

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